Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Vote for Me Because I'm Already Hated

You won't see that slogan on any bumper stickers but, bizarrely, it appears to be one of the top two or three talking points of the Clinton campaign. Here's what Senator Clinton had to say on Sunday on ABC's This Week:
I've been taking the incoming fire from Republicans for about sixteen years now, and I'm still here, because I have been vetted, I have been tested. There's not likely to be any new surprises. People understand who I am, where I'm from, what I believe in.
The suggestion, as George Stephanopoulos picked up in a follow-up question, was that Senator Obama has skeletons in his closet that will come out as a surprise in the general election. That seems quite implausible, however. If there were something with which Obama could be legitimately attacked, given the stakes, it's pretty clear that the Clinton campaign would have already made it known (through surrogates, of course). Thus, in response, Senator Clinton said that she was not saying that there was anything in particular to which she was alluding; she was merely noting that Obama's popularity would take a hit once he was attacked.

There's a certain logic to that. Hillary Clinton is better known to the public than Barack Obama, and if he gets the Democratic nomination, Republicans will almost certainly try to define him in a way that makes him less attractive. Indeed, they have already begun doing so, pointing out (correctly) that Obama's votes make him among the most liberal members of the Senate.

Yet pointing out that Obama is liberal is not really an "attack" in any meaningful sense, and you can be sure that Republican strategists who think that calling an opponent liberal is as good as calling that opponent a Communist or a pedophile will do the same thing to Clinton (who is, of course, considerably more liberal than Senator McCain). So what Clinton must mean---or what she would have to mean for this line of argument to make sense---is that Obama will lose popularity once he is unfairly smeared in the way that, she believes, she has been.

Maybe yes, maybe no. It worked with John Kerry and the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth. But Kerry already came across as a bit of a careerist windbag. The obvious response to the claim that Obama may be rendered unpopular by unfair smears is that Clinton is ALREADY unpopular with large numbers of voters who should like her based on her policy positions. Hillary Clinton has endured 16 years of the vast right-wing conspiracy---a conspiracy abetted by her husband's inability to control his appetites---and suffered mightily as a result. With unfavorable ratings of 40 percent and higher, she comes into a general election with much work to do. It's possible that (fair and unfair) attacks on Obama could squeeze him in the same way, but at least there's a chance that they wouldn't.

Happy Super Duper Tuesday to all.

Posted by Mike Dorf


SJW said...

They're both untested as Presidential candidates. While it's true that Obama might have such skeletons in his closet that he would be even more "hated" than Clinton after a thorough Republican smearing, Clinton is exaggerating or overestimating the amount of attention she's received if she doesn't think the Republicans will still have surprises for her closer to election day.

Adam P. said...

So today you said no endorsement as a lawprof. Any endorsement as a blogger? Or does the potential 2d Circuit appointment dissuade?

Michael C. Dorf said...

Okay, Adam P, just to show you how unconcerned about such matters I am, and as if it weren't obvious already . . . Obama.

egarber said...

It's gonna get ugly regardless.

I'm already fending off “Barack is a Muslim and hates the American Flag" mass emails down here in Georgia. And it's beyond naïve to think there isn't new trash they'd throw at Hillary.

The only question that voters should consider is: Who do I think would make the best president, based on my governing philosophy and assessment of candidate qualifications?

Adam P. said...

Correct answer

Sobek said...

"(who is, of course, considerably more liberal than Senator McCain)."

I disagree with that. What conservative legislation has McCain's name on it?

Sobek said...

Clinton is wrong. Assuming, arguendo, that Republicans will attach Obama for other than substantive policy reasons, what attacks could we make that Clinton (personally or through surrogates) hasn't already made?

And is there any realistic possibility that charges by Republicans will stick better, after news media types turn the attacks around as examples of how we're all racist troglodytes, after they didn't stick when offered by the media-friendly Hillary camp?

Anonymous said...

免費A片, ut聊天室, AV女優, 美女視訊, 免費成人影片, 成人論壇, 情色交友, 免費AV, 線上a片, 日本美女寫真集, 同志聊天室, 聊天室交友, 成人文章, 成人圖片區, 色情網站, 辣妹視訊, 美女交友, 微風成人區, 色美媚部落格, 色情影片, 成人影片, 成人網站, 免費A片, 上班族聊天室, A片,H漫, 18成人, a漫, av dvd, 一夜情聊天室, 微風成人, 成人圖片, 成人漫畫, 情色網, 日本A片, 免費A片下載, 性愛, 成人交友, 嘟嘟成人網, 嘟嘟成人網, 成人貼圖, 成人電影, 成人, 中部人聊天室, 080中部人聊天室, 成人貼圖, 成人小說, 成人文章, 成人圖片區, 免費成人影片, 成人遊戲, 微風成人, 愛情公寓, 成人電影, A片, 情色, 情色貼圖, 情色文學, 做愛, 成人遊戲, 成人影城, 色情聊天室, 色情小說, 一葉情貼圖片區, 情色小說, 色情, 寄情築園小遊戲, 色情遊戲, 成人網站, 麗的色遊戲, 色情網站, 成人論壇, 情色視訊, 情色電影, aio交友愛情館, 言情小說, 愛情小說, 色情A片, 情色論壇, 自拍, 癡漢, , 俱樂部, 豆豆聊天室, 聊天室, 色情影片, 視訊聊天室, 免費視訊聊天, 免費視訊, 視訊交友90739 情人視訊網影音視訊聊天室 免費視訊聊天室 視訊聊天 視訊交友 美女視訊 視訊美女 視訊 免費視訊 免費視訊聊天 視訊聊天室 辣妹視訊 一夜情 色情a片 aio交友愛情館 情色電影 情色視訊 色情遊戲 色情 情色小說 一葉情貼圖片區 色情小說 色情聊天室 情色交友 成人論壇 成人網站 色情網站 情色論壇 小高聊天室 女同志聊天室 6K聊天室 080苗栗人聊天室 080聊天室 聊天室尋夢園 UT男同志聊天室 男同志聊天室 尋夢園聊天室 UT聊天室 聊天室 豆豆聊天室 A片 成人電影 成人貼圖 嘟嘟成人網 美女交友 本土自拍 成人交友 成人影片http://ssff01.3b8mm.com/

Anonymous said...

It is the holic gold which makes me very happy these days, my brother says holic money is his favorite games gold he likes, he usually holic online gold to start his game and most of the time he will win the cheap holic gold back and give me some holic online money to play the game.

Anonymous said...

酒店喝酒,禮服店,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,制服店,便服店,鋼琴酒吧,兼差,酒店兼差,酒店打工,伴唱小姐,暑假打工,酒店上班,日式酒店,舞廳,ktv酒店,酒店,酒店公關,酒店小姐,理容院,日領,龍亨,學生兼差,酒店兼差,酒店上班,酒店打工,禮服酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,台北酒店,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,禮服店 ,酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,酒店小姐,經紀 彩色爆米花,經紀人 彩色爆米花,酒店傳播,酒店經紀 彩色爆米花,爆米花,童裝,童裝拍賣,童裝大盤,童裝寄賣,童裝批貨,酒店,酒店,童裝切貨,酒店,GAP童裝,酒店,酒店 ,禮服店 , 酒店小姐,酒店經紀,酒店兼差,寒暑假打工,招待所,

Anonymous said...

www.eshooes.com .
[url=http://www.pumafr.com]puma shoes[/url]
[url=http://www.eshooes.com]chaussures puma[/url]
[url=http://www.myshoess.com]nike air max ltd[/url]

Anonymous said...

酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店經紀, 酒店打工經紀, 制服酒店工作, 專業酒店經紀, 合法酒店經紀, 酒店暑假打工, 酒店寒假打工, 酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店工作, 酒店打工經紀, 制服酒店經紀, 專業酒店經紀, 合法酒店經紀, 酒店暑假打工, 酒店寒假打工, 酒店經紀人, 菲梵酒店經紀, 酒店經紀, 禮服酒店上班, 酒店小姐兼職, 便服酒店工作, 酒店打工經紀, 制服酒店經紀,,