Will the Trump Guilty Verdict Make a Difference to Enough Voters to Affect the Election's Outcome?
Polling over the last several months revealed some number of voters who said they would likely vote for Donald Trump for President in November but that a criminal conviction could change their minds. People who said such things were, by definition, swing voters. No one who was planning not to vote for Trump would change their mind and support him because he was convicted of 34 counts of felony falsification of documents. Well, perhaps not no one. I've never understood Trump's appeal to anyone. I suppose that voting for Trump because he's a felon is not that much crazier than voting for him because he physically hugs flags . How many of those people who said they would change their mind and not cast ballots for Trump based on a conviction were both sincere and accurately projecting their conduct? Not all, surely. Perhaps not even most. But in a close election, even a small shift could be the difference. There is reason to believe that James Comey's announcement on the ev...